Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.703308 2.045075 2.429656 2.893258 3.435690 4.048942 4.793406
2026-01-11 1.258058 1.702948 2.258376 2.997649 3.950029 5.129251 6.692645
2026-01-18 0.949333 1.421985 2.065509 2.994477 4.287596 6.008042 8.450889
2026-01-25 0.715685 1.173028 1.845078 2.885957 4.433866 6.621687 9.910299
2026-02-01 0.552037 0.982049 1.658907 2.774915 4.533620 7.153100 11.287661
2026-02-08 0.452997 0.867413 1.560905 2.769056 4.771433 7.891377 13.025289
2026-02-15 0.379045 0.777356 1.482717 2.775015 5.016884 8.654094 14.865088
2026-02-22 0.315026 0.690327 1.391985 2.740403 5.182120 9.295575 16.564658
2026-03-01 0.251173 0.588814 1.255604 2.599727 5.139301 9.578875 17.691019
2026-03-08 0.211363 0.527219 1.182973 2.563233 5.272329 10.166735 19.378242
2026-03-15 0.180647 0.478251 1.126253 2.547009 5.436862 10.820132 21.232411
2026-03-22 0.168279 0.468661 1.149575 2.694460 5.931515 12.116224 24.350796
2026-03-29 0.150693 0.443342 1.136067 2.766221 6.291214 13.208286 27.218431
2026-04-05 0.138238 0.428331 1.143468 2.884635 6.761020 14.556830 30.691934
2026-04-12 0.120570 0.395134 1.102196 2.887375 6.986433 15.446334 33.357686
2026-04-19 0.100262 0.349166 1.020968 2.784174 6.967529 15.840216 35.077769
2026-04-26 0.083192 0.307950 0.943641 2.677245 6.924663 16.176196 36.703777
2026-05-03 0.072819 0.284700 0.909429 2.671748 7.112868 17.013387 39.425731
2026-05-10 0.064269 0.265042 0.881381 2.677573 7.327689 17.925611 42.376976
2026-05-17 0.055656 0.242625 0.841003 2.644083 7.442079 18.624838 44.925853
2026-05-24 0.045525 0.211383 0.767709 2.507914 7.282232 18.688978 46.090242
2026-05-31 0.039413 0.193502 0.732096 2.472592 7.375670 19.342722 48.616236
2026-06-07 0.034559 0.179090 0.704695 2.456890 7.518477 20.124197 51.491521